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Intelligence Updates to 14th May

Saudi Arabia – Saudi Arabian authorities have arrested 44 terror suspects believed to belong to ISIS. Source information reveals that many of these individuals were formerly members of AQAP in Yemen, which highlights the growing polarization within militant Sunni jihadism.

Egypt – The past week in Egypt was calm in terms of security. This should not be taken as an indication that security will improve in the coming weeks. Rather, with the upcoming presidential elections on May 26-27, the opposite is more likely.

Over 200 Muslim Brotherhood members were arrested on suspicion of plotting attacks on security officials and army officers.

Bahrain – Bahrain’s opposition is expected to increase its activities during evening hours, according to a source close to the Bahraini opposition in London.

Jordan and Qatar – Jordan resumes the sending of security advisors and contractors, from both the army and intelligence services, to Qatar. The development signals an improvement in relations between the two countries, following a 2011 fall out.

Iraq – At present, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki looks set to extend his term in office, although his policies in the past four years have made enemies of former allies. Therefore, he is unlikely to be able to push through legislation with similar ease to his last previous term in office.

The ideological and strategic differences between the Islamic State of Iraq and Sham (ISIS) and al-Qaeda (this topic is covered in this week’s Terrorism report from 5 Dimension Consultants and further detail on all of the updates above and more can be obtained from them).

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